Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.049446 0.058167 0.067918 0.079621 0.093278 0.108709 0.127461
2025-07-20 0.036244 0.047613 0.061726 0.080501 0.104793 0.135139 0.175909
2025-07-27 0.028522 0.040819 0.057366 0.081194 0.114559 0.159554 0.224786
2025-08-03 0.023593 0.036244 0.054442 0.082411 0.124195 0.184176 0.276688
2025-08-10 0.020384 0.033297 0.052971 0.084956 0.135473 0.211968 0.336359
2025-08-17 0.016752 0.028938 0.048503 0.081972 0.137558 0.225885 0.376512
2025-08-24 0.014424 0.026217 0.046072 0.081644 0.143465 0.246058 0.428659
2025-08-31 0.012416 0.023663 0.043459 0.080477 0.147581 0.263504 0.478142
2025-09-07 0.011185 0.022276 0.042611 0.082173 0.156722 0.290343 0.546874
2025-09-14 0.009815 0.020390 0.040552 0.081293 0.160954 0.308839 0.602698
2025-09-21 0.008522 0.018435 0.038060 0.079182 0.162480 0.322386 0.650723
2025-09-28 0.007391 0.016624 0.035577 0.076694 0.162852 0.333628 0.695432
2025-10-05 0.006786 0.015854 0.035131 0.078389 0.172049 0.363520 0.781600
2025-10-12 0.006149 0.014912 0.034194 0.078921 0.178919 0.389625 0.863474
2025-10-19 0.005597 0.014072 0.033354 0.079531 0.186013 0.416994 0.951350
2025-10-26 0.005150 0.013408 0.032807 0.080710 0.194493 0.448271 1.051468
2025-11-02 0.004835 0.013015 0.032826 0.083202 0.206281 0.488154 1.175572
2025-11-09 0.004239 0.011806 0.030720 0.080277 0.204900 0.498117 1.232187
2025-11-16 0.003855 0.011092 0.029726 0.079955 0.209761 0.523056 1.327015
2025-11-23 0.003475 0.010324 0.028481 0.078812 0.212409 0.543008 1.412140
2025-11-30 0.003262 0.009988 0.028317 0.080474 0.222439 0.582060 1.549141
2025-12-07 0.002965 0.009357 0.027271 0.079611 0.225721 0.604652 1.647095
2025-12-14 0.002654 0.008634 0.025862 0.077542 0.225480 0.618208 1.723227